9th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VAUGHAN Paul - - - - 5% 41% 55%
2 BROWN Lucas - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
3 CHRISTIAN John R. - - 1% 15% 50% 34%
3 STRATHMAN Cordelia 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
5 STEPHENS Rick W. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 17% -
6 STRASBURG Grant - - 3% 25% 47% 25%
7 FULLER II Thomas 1% 11% 36% 40% 11% 1%
8 GENTA Camden 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
9 SMITH Dylan - - 8% 44% 40% 8%
10 BUECKING Jannis - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
11 SCOGGIN Daniel 2% 21% 54% 20% 3% -
12 GIOCOLO David 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% - -
13 HELLMAN Daniel - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
14 METTE JB 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
15 HERL DeLaine 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
16 RENAUD Josie 42% 50% 8% - - -
17 DUNN Heidi 37% 49% 13% 1% - -
18 PETTIJOHN Luke 2% 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
19 WESTON Michael 54% 37% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.