2025 RedStar Youth Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

RedStar Fencing Club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Lucas - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 LIU Sophia 5% 25% 40% 23% 6% 1% < 1%
3 REES Vaughan - 6% 28% 45% 22%
3 LIU Doris 9% 34% 38% 17% 3%
5 BADER Mia - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
5 VALERI Ryan - 2% 12% 35% 37% 13% 1%
7 AN Jacob 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
8 KAGAN Natalie 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 8% -
9 SHAH Aadi - 11% 32% 36% 18% 3% -
10 ENOIU Ethan 9% 50% 34% 7% -
11 CHEN Andrew - 5% 24% 43% 24% 4% -
12 BUECHELE Grant - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
13 MATIYASH Andrew 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
14 KASHUBA Adriana 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
15 AN Graham 2% 15% 39% 37% 7%
16 BALTATU Emily - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 7%
17 KRYSKO Zlata 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
18 ROLKOWSKI Mia 2% 15% 39% 35% 8% - -
19 WHITE Alice - 2% 53% 36% 8% 1% -
20 CHAN Lucas 7% 32% 41% 18% 2%
21 HEMPSTEAD Santiago - 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
22 DALY Layla 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
22 SHEN Hunter - 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 VASYLYSHYN Vadym 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
25 ZOLDAN Olliana < 1% - 15% 45% 36% 3% -
26 DALY Ava 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.