2025 RedStar Youth Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 12:00 PM

RedStar Fencing Club - Chicago, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 LIU Sophia 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% < 1%
3 REES Vaughan 100% 100% 94% 66% 22%
3 LIU Doris 100% 91% 57% 19% 3%
5 BADER Mia 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
5 VALERI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14% 1%
7 AN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
8 KAGAN Natalie 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% -
9 SHAH Aadi 100% 100% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
10 ENOIU Ethan 100% 91% 41% 7% -
11 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 4% -
12 BUECHELE Grant 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
13 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
14 KASHUBA Adriana 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
15 AN Graham 100% 98% 84% 44% 7%
16 BALTATU Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
17 KRYSKO Zlata 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
18 ROLKOWSKI Mia 100% 98% 83% 44% 9% - -
19 WHITE Alice 100% 100% 98% 45% 9% 1% -
20 CHAN Lucas 100% 93% 61% 20% 2%
21 HEMPSTEAD Santiago 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
22 DALY Layla 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
22 SHEN Hunter 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
24 VASYLYSHYN Vadym 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
25 ZOLDAN Olliana 100% 100% 100% 85% 40% 4% -
26 DALY Ava 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.