Event Preview
December NACSunday, December 12, 2021 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4568 | 4791 - 4438 |
| 5 - 8 | 4336 | 4359 - 4310 |
| 9 - 16 | 4049 | 4363 - 3847 |
| 17 - 32 | 3755 | 3865 - 3626 |
| 33 - 64 | 3511 | 3885 - 3333 |
| 65 - 128 | 3114 | 3363 - 2915 |
| 129 - 167 | 2810 | 3620 - 2295 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.