Lotus Cup ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Myrtle Beach Sports Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUO Joe 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
2 GOLDSTEIN Malcolm 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
3 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
3 CHEN Remsen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
5 TOPALOV Michael 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
6 ROSTHOLDER Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
7 RESTELLI Arri 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
8 LAMM Tyler 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
9 GUINN Robert 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
10 CROCKETT Khalil 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
11 WANG Thomas 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
12 ZHAO Evan 100% 90% 59% 26% 6% 1% -
13 TONG Lawrence 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
14 SHOWKIER Jude 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.