The Crescent City Open RYC/RJCC/ROC (ICE)

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STAFFORD Gareth - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
2 WOODALL Ian L. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
3 LAM Kirin - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
3 FRANCIS Sebastian - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
5 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1%
6 BARRETT Austin - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 HOLCOMB Alexander - 5% 20% 38% 30% 8%
8 FRANCIS Maximillian 4% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
9 LIN Evan 42% 41% 15% 2% - -
10 HERNANDEZ Marc A. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
11 TOWSTER Robert 1% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
12 EXNICIOS Rex 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
13 LESNIAK Chuck - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
14 EXNICIOS Richard M. - 6% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1%
15 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
16 HOLCOMB Michael 16% 44% 30% 9% 1% - -
17 NEWELL Tim 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
18 LEOTTI Galen 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
19 WEMPLE Charles 47% 41% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.