The Crescent City Open RYC/RJCC/ROC (ICE)

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Riverside Hilton / Fitness Center - New Orleans, LA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
2 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
3 LAM Kirin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
3 FRANCIS Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
5 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
6 BARRETT Austin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 HOLCOMB Alexander 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
8 FRANCIS Maximillian 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1%
9 LIN Evan 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
10 HERNANDEZ Marc A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
11 TOWSTER Robert 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
12 EXNICIOS Rex 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
13 LESNIAK Chuck 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
14 EXNICIOS Richard M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
15 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
16 HOLCOMB Michael 100% 84% 40% 10% 1% - -
17 NEWELL Tim 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
18 LEOTTI Galen 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
19 WEMPLE Charles 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.