AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #2

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DEFENSOR Ella 1% 8% 37% 52% 3%
2 HENDERSON Ella 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
3 YU Jiaming Lisa - 9% 45% 46%
5 TRUONG Chloe 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
6 CHADHA Ditvi 13% 69% 18% < 1%
7 MARTYNOVA Veronica 13% 38% 36% 13% 2% -
8 LIU Aubrey 10% 36% 37% 15% 2%
9 MENDIRATTA Olivia 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
10 MRABET Maya - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
11 KUNG Chang-Jie 1% 9% 30% 40% 20% 1%
12 YE Charlotte 55% 38% 7% - -
13 LI Elaine 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1%
14 NAYAR Saisha - 12% 55% 33%
15 WAGENAAR Ava 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
16 CHEN Chen Kritstina < 1% 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
17 MULCHANDANI Anya 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
18 AGLIPAY Alyssa - 1% 14% 44% 40%
19 CHALFIN Samantha 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
20 PARK Christine - 8% 32% 38% 19% 3%
21 ZHOU Emily 66% 30% 4% -
22 CHEN Soleste 1% 21% 47% 27% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.