AFM Youth and Cadet Cup - Event #2

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Academy of Fencing Masters - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 99% 91% 55% 3%
2 HENDERSON Ella 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
3 YU Jiaming Lisa 100% 100% 90% 46%
5 TRUONG Chloe 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
6 CHADHA Ditvi 100% 87% 18% < 1%
7 MARTYNOVA Veronica 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% -
8 LIU Aubrey 100% 90% 55% 17% 2%
9 MENDIRATTA Olivia 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
10 MRABET Maya 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
11 KUNG Chang-Jie 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 1%
12 YE Charlotte 100% 45% 7% - -
13 LI Elaine 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1%
14 NAYAR Saisha 100% 100% 88% 33%
15 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
16 CHEN Chen Kritstina 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
17 MULCHANDANI Anya 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
18 AGLIPAY Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
19 CHALFIN Samantha 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
20 PARK Christine 100% 100% 92% 60% 22% 3%
21 ZHOU Emily 100% 34% 4% -
22 CHEN Soleste 100% 99% 78% 31% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.