Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
2 LI Jayden 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
3 DAI Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
3 CHEN Hayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
5 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
6 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
7 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
8 LANE Sawyer 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
9 CHEN Daniel 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
10 YOON Jonathan 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
11 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
12 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
13 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
14 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
15 YIN Xiangheng 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 13%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
17 SHABASHOV Roman 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 3%
18 ZHANG Jacob 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2% -
19 YONG Connor 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
20 YAN Milan 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
21 LUO Sebastian 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
22 LAI Jaxon 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
23 MILLER Brodrick 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5% -
24 YANTZ Stosh 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
25 NOVAK Luke 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2%
26 LI Sean 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
27 YANTZ Rhys 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
28 MURPHY CHANCOGNE Quentin 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
29 EFFEL Samuel 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
30 GREGORY Milo 100% 79% 42% 13% 2% - -
31 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
32 YONG Dylan 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
33 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
34 TAN Wyatt 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
35 HATZIGIANNIS Paris 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
36 ZHU Kingsley 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
37 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
38 GENCER Alp 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% - -
39 SON Joshua 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
40 YADAV Aarav 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
41 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
42 SARKAR Aum 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1%
43 PARK Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
44 VU Trung 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
45 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
46 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
47 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
48 SALA John 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
49 POPOV Cristian 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
50 EICHELBERGER Luke 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.