9th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HORNE Jamison - - 5% 22% 42% 26% 5%
2 BROCKMEYER Tyler - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
3 DANNULL Linus N. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 PARK Gavin - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
5 FINN Lucy 1% 10% 30% 37% 18% 3% -
6 LADY Jamie 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
7 WILSON Seth 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
8 SOBERY Lillian 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% - -
9 BARTON Leo - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
10 KOSGI Krivik 3% 27% 41% 23% 6% -
11 DEATON Lily - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
12 ZENG Hongmiao - 5% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
13 BROCKMEYER Kendy 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
14 STONE Cameron 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
15 PETRUC Victor - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
16 HODES Greg 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
17 ZENG William 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
18 SMOOT Brian - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
19 HASTY Avery 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
20 YORK Reid - 1% 9% 29% 41% 18% 2%
21 STEPHENS Rick W. 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
23 GREENWOOD Blake - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
24 SHIVELY Erik 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
25 KEMPF Camdyn 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4% -
26 WILSON Max 18% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
27 LU Jamie 23% 44% 26% 6% - -
28 HERGENROETHER Archer 25% 48% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.