9th Annual Knights of the Black Flag

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Buccaneer Blades Fencing - Wentzville, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HORNE Jamison 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
2 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
3 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 PARK Gavin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
5 FINN Lucy 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3% -
6 LADY Jamie 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
7 WILSON Seth 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
8 SOBERY Lillian 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
9 BARTON Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
10 KOSGI Krivik 100% 97% 70% 30% 6% -
11 DEATON Lily 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
12 ZENG Hongmiao 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
13 BROCKMEYER Kendy 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
14 STONE Cameron 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
15 PETRUC Victor 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
16 HODES Greg 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
17 ZENG William 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
18 SMOOT Brian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
19 HASTY Avery 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
20 YORK Reid 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20% 2%
21 STEPHENS Rick W. 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
23 GREENWOOD Blake 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
24 SHIVELY Erik 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
25 KEMPF Camdyn 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4% -
26 WILSON Max 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
27 LU Jamie 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
28 HERGENROETHER Archer 100% 75% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.