Colorado Cup #2

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAACSON Calev - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
2 MINN Nathan 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
3 SUN Neo - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
3 ZHANG Tianyi - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
5 VALENCIA Anthony N. - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
6 STOY Patrick 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
7 BURKE Reid 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
8 GOLD Ari - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
9 NGUYEN Maddox - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
10 URISMAN Jacob 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
11 TIVY Caitlyn 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
12 THURLING Joseph - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 13%
13 DRESSER Langdon - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
14 VIGIL Liliana 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
15 MANDRIOLI Max 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
16 SPATZ Selene 7% 40% 37% 13% 2% - -
17 WORSHAM Aidan 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
18 MCKITRICK Cooper 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
19 DALY Gavin 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
19 AGUIRRE Mark 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.