Colorado Cup #2

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAACSON Calev 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
2 MINN Nathan 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
3 SUN Neo 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
3 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
5 VALENCIA Anthony N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
6 STOY Patrick 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
7 BURKE Reid 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
8 GOLD Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
9 NGUYEN Maddox 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
10 URISMAN Jacob 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
11 TIVY Caitlyn 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
12 THURLING Joseph 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
13 DRESSER Langdon 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
14 VIGIL Liliana 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
15 MANDRIOLI Max 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
16 SPATZ Selene 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
17 WORSHAM Aidan 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
18 MCKITRICK Cooper 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
19 DALY Gavin 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
19 AGUIRRE Mark 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.