Napa Valley Crush

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 5:00 PM

Blue Oak School - Gym - Napa, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MIYOSHI Kylie - - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
2 SWAIN Taylor - - 3% 18% 42% 32% 5%
3 LIU Bao K. - - 1% 7% 28% 41% 22% 3%
3 MITCHELL Ellerie 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
5 BRIGGS Jacob 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 3% -
6 CARR Lucas - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
7 SILVER Nicole 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% - -
8 SWAIN Amanda - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
9 MURRAY Brian 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - - -
10 MESSINA Liam - 1% 11% 36% 38% 13% 1%
11 GUPTA Pearl 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% - -
12 SILVER James 36% 46% 16% 2% - - -
13 HARLE Robert 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% - -
14 GOMEZ Zefram - 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
15 ADAMS Andrew 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.