Napa Valley Crush

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 5:00 PM

Blue Oak School - Gym - Napa, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
2 SWAIN Taylor 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 5%
3 LIU Bao K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 24% 3%
3 MITCHELL Ellerie 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
5 BRIGGS Jacob 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 3% -
6 CARR Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
7 SILVER Nicole 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% - -
8 SWAIN Amanda 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
9 MURRAY Brian 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - - -
10 MESSINA Liam 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 14% 1%
11 GUPTA Pearl 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% - -
12 SILVER James 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
13 HARLE Robert 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% - -
14 GOMEZ Zefram 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
15 ADAMS Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.