Midwest ROC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 SHOUSHA Hamza 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
3 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 9%
6 LARSON Vaughn 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
7 ELLIS, IV Floyd 100% 97% 78% 38% 6% -
8 JERDEE Colton 100% 93% 61% 20% 2% -
9 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
10 COLIN Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 33%
11 AU Joshua 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
12 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
13 WANG Kaiyan 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
14 NOOL Alexander 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 2%
15 BUTTA Reese 100% 100% 95% 70% 28% 4%
16 ZHANG Eric 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
17 SAYLOR Henry 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 1%
18 SWENSON Diego 100% 99% 81% 40% 9% 1%
19 SHI Yeyu 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
20 SMOTHERS Nathan 100% 95% 58% 18% 2% -
21 D'SA Thomas 100% 99% 70% 27% 5% -
22 DRAWZ Chase 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 1%
23 MA James 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
24 YANG Junhu 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
25 CAMPBELL Finn 100% 90% 56% 18% 2% -
26 HONG Daniel 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
27 LEE Wilson 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
28 BALA-MAY Noah 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
29 MARZOUK Moustafa 100% 11% - - - -
30 KRAUSE Maxwell 100% 29% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.