SAS Saber #2 (Y10, Y12, Y14, Junior, Senior)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHURYGIN Ariel - - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
2 LOWE-NILSEN Devon 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
3 HOLMES Aiden G. - - - 2% 81% 16% 1%
3 KALISOVA Kristyna - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
5 LOPER Alex - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
6 HOLMES Sabrina 1% 14% 39% 35% 9% 1%
7 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. - - - 5% 29% 54% 12%
8 BECK Mica - 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
9 GOLDIN Nina - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
10 RASHELL Simon - 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
11 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. - - 3% 25% 51% 21%
12 ENGLE Aidric - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
13 WANG Tina - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
14 VACCA Giovanni 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
15 CRETEN joachim - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
16 DALELA Neel 11% 37% 39% 13% - - -
17 RIGGINS Littleton K. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
18 VANDEN BROOK Christopher - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 4%
19 YANG Caroline 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
20 MOODY Paul J. - 7% 37% 41% 13% 1%
21 KING Robin E. 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3% -
22 HE Manni 4% 27% 39% 23% 7% 1% -
23 SIVORAPHONH Ryan H. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
24 DEGEN Anita L. 14% 50% 30% 5% - -
24 HOLMES Xavier 3% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
26 CHIU Philippa 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
27 BARCZAY Sara E. 5% 30% 41% 20% 4% - -
28 REITER Michael L. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
29 MA Yanjie - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 2%
30 ZUG Kiersten A. 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
31 WONG Lucia 57% 36% 7% - - -
32 PENG Gregory 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
33 GUEA Mark 74% 24% 2% - - - -
35 TING Alexander 43% 43% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.