SAS Saber #2 (Y10, Y12, Y14, Junior, Senior)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHURYGIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
2 LOWE-NILSEN Devon 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
3 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 17% 1%
3 KALISOVA Kristyna 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
5 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
6 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 99% 84% 45% 10% 1%
7 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 12%
8 BECK Mica 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
9 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 RASHELL Simon 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
11 DIRSMITH Benjamin J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 72% 21%
12 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
13 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
14 VACCA Giovanni 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 CRETEN joachim 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
16 DALELA Neel 100% 89% 52% 13% - - -
17 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
18 VANDEN BROOK Christopher 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
19 YANG Caroline 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
20 MOODY Paul J. 100% 100% 92% 55% 14% 1%
21 KING Robin E. 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3% -
22 HE Manni 100% 96% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
23 SIVORAPHONH Ryan H. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
24 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 86% 36% 6% - -
24 HOLMES Xavier 100% 97% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
26 CHIU Philippa 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
27 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
28 REITER Michael L. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
29 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
30 ZUG Kiersten A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
31 WONG Lucia 100% 43% 7% - - -
32 PENG Gregory 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
33 GUEA Mark 100% 26% 2% - - - -
35 TING Alexander 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.