Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YE Aaron - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 GHIM Ethan - 3% 20% 46% 30%
3 GUO Aiden 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
3 LAKKARAJU Prathik 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
5 JIAO Lawrence - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
6 CONSTANTINE Leonidas - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
7 JIANG Hardy - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
8 HORIKAWA Xander 5% 30% 43% 20% 3%
9 LAKKARAJU Dhishan 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
10 QIAO Jason - 5% 26% 45% 23%
11 LIN Rongcheng Noah 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
12 QIU Lucas 17% 39% 32% 11% 1% -
13 WANG Thomas 4% 20% 38% 29% 8% 1%
14 KWON Joon - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
15 ZHANG Ethan - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
16 GUPTA Abir 31% 43% 22% 5% - -
17 SHEN Aaron 8% 35% 40% 15% 2%
18 KHAN Zorayz 52% 38% 9% 1% -
19 LIANG Henry 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
20 JIANG Harry 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
21 NAKAMURA Haruki 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
22 TAM Ethan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
23 ANUP Abhay 54% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.