Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 GHIM Ethan 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
3 GUO Aiden 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5%
3 LAKKARAJU Prathik 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
5 JIAO Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
6 CONSTANTINE Leonidas 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
7 JIANG Hardy 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
8 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 95% 65% 22% 3%
9 LAKKARAJU Dhishan 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
10 QIAO Jason 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
11 LIN Rongcheng Noah 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
12 QIU Lucas 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
13 WANG Thomas 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
14 KWON Joon 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
15 ZHANG Ethan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
16 GUPTA Abir 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
17 SHEN Aaron 100% 92% 57% 17% 2%
18 KHAN Zorayz 100% 48% 10% 1% -
19 LIANG Henry 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3%
20 JIANG Harry 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
21 NAKAMURA Haruki 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
22 TAM Ethan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
23 ANUP Abhay 100% 46% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.