Home for the Holidays Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WELDON Benjamin - - - 2% 16% 49% 33%
2 WEGENER Soren - 1% 10% 38% 47% 4%
3 LEE Andrew - - - 1% 14% 86%
3 KILUK Andrew - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
5 LEE Tobias - - - 2% 14% 47% 37%
6 PETERSEN Ephraim - 2% 12% 34% 39% 14%
7 RAND Vivian K. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 5% -
8 LUEDECKE Myles - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
9 VARNEY John R. - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
10 GUAN Nathan 1% 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
11 GE Ray 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
12 LEWIS Michael 1% 9% 37% 41% 12% -
13 WANG Juehan (Jeremy) 20% 51% 25% 4% - -
14 STOCK Jordan - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
15 NIMOH Vasil 2% 34% 45% 17% 2% -
16 KRYLTSOV Greg 1% 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
17 FABBRO Andrew - 11% 34% 37% 16% 2%
18 WITECKI Jack 1% 12% 40% 37% 9% -
19 MONTGOMERY Elliot 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 1% -
20 WINSLOW Chris - 5% 26% 42% 22% 4% -
21 CHEN Christopher 17% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
22 GE Liang 37% 44% 17% 3% - - -
23 UST Daisy 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
24 WEBSTER Julius 50% 41% 9% 1% - -
25 PETERSEN Aaron 88% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.