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Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
2 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 99% 89% 51% 4%
3 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
5 LEE Tobias 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 37%
6 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
7 RAND Vivian K. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
8 LUEDECKE Myles 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
9 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
10 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1%
11 GE Ray 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
12 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 90% 53% 12% -
13 WANG Juehan (Jeremy) 100% 80% 29% 4% - -
14 STOCK Jordan 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
15 NIMOH Vasil 100% 98% 65% 19% 2% -
16 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1%
17 FABBRO Andrew 100% 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
18 WITECKI Jack 100% 99% 87% 47% 9% -
19 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2% -
20 WINSLOW Chris 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4% -
21 CHEN Christopher 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% - -
22 GE Liang 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
23 UST Daisy 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
24 WEBSTER Julius 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
25 PETERSEN Aaron 100% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.