October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, October 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
2 HOMER Daryl D. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 IGOE Benjamin - - - - 4% 26% 69%
6 SOUDERS Peter F. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
6 METRYKA Karol - - - - 1% 17% 81%
8 COHEN Josef A. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
9 COSTIN Michael V. - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
9 WALKER Christopher J. - - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
11 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 2% 12% 39% 46%
12 DODDO Andrew - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
13 SARON Mitchell S. - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
14 BAK Daniel 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
15 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
16 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
17 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - 1% 7% 29% 47% 16%
18 SPEAR Jeff - - - - 2% 20% 77%
19 LOSS Geoffrey M. - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
20 KWONG Samuel J. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
20 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
22 ZU Kevin - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
23 BIVINS III George A. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
24 BOOTH Zaheer - - 3% 16% 39% 37% 4%
25 YEN Darren - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
26 MULLENNIX Ethan M. - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
27 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
28 MCFADDEN Shae Q. 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
29 KUSHKOV Simon O. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% -
30 MOON Sean H. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
31 HARVEY Nicholas J. 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
32 HU William 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
33 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
34 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
35 CAI Erwin - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
36 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
37 SMITH Mitchell M. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
38 SMITH David C. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
39 FIELDS Malcolm D. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
40 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
41 HEATHCOCK Antonio - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
42 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
43 RICHARDSON Andrew - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
44 PRIEST Leighton K. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
45 YANG Kevin S. 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
46 KIM Minwook 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
47 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
48 WALKER Dalton F. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
49 MA Jonathan D. - - 4% 16% 36% 35% 9%
50 KARAM Tariq A. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
51 QIU Le 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
52 BOLTON Dawson E. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
53 KIM Shawn J. - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
54 STONE Ben - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
55 ATTIG Will T. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
55 LEE Kyle 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
57 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
58 MATRICCIANI NOAH 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
59 SCHMITT Trenton R. - 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 3%
60 SMITH Jared C. - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 12%
61 KIM Sean G. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
62 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 2%
63 KANARY Logan A. - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
64 BARNETT Adam 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
65 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
66 MIKA Casper - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
67 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
68 CONTRERAS Alessandro - - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
69 SAKHAMURI Surya 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
70 LIM Ryan Y. - 6% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
71 JOHNSON Andrew J. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
72 HUSSAIN Faaris 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
73 DINU Nicholas D. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6% 1%
74 TE VELDE Noah C. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 2%
75 KIM Avery J. 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
76 OSTER Keegan J. 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
77 SINGER Carson 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
78 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
79 PARK Donghwan - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
80 JULIEN William A 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
81 SIERADZKY Dawson 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
81 GEFELL Andrew P. 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
83 GUY Philippe - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
84 BRADFORD Blake 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
85 SOHN Kevin J. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
86 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
87 MARSEE James 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
88 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
89 FLORES Gerardo (Gerardito) D. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 4%
90 PARK Justin W. - 4% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
91 CHAN Zachary D. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
92 TONG Qilin 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
93 PRICE Jack S. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
94 LEUNG Mark - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
94 WUN William 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
94 ZHOU Kevin 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
97 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
98 SHI Andrew - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
99 GANTA Vijay 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
100 SHANAHAN Adam E. 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
100 NI AMEN Zahir K. 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
102 NADILE Henry V. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
103 PITURA Philip 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
104 HARLEY Colby A. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
105 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
106 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
107 RIVERA Inigo Franco 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
108 ESCUETA Tony V. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
109 KIM Benjamin H. 3% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
110 LAI Adam J. 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
111 YOUNG Nash 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
112 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
113 FLORES Peter D. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
114 HAMMER Peter A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
115 WESLER Logan A. 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
116 MULVANEY Alec S. 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
117 HONG Marshall Q. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% -
118 SHEPANEK Noah M. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
119 TRINH Trevor Z. 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
120 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
121 WIND Nicky E. 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
122 BUKOWSKI Bronson 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
122 WOOD Elden S. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
124 YAN Jack P. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
125 LASORSA Matthew 13% 37% 34% 13% 3% - -
126 LILOV Neil 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 10% 1%
127 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
128 RAMAN Easwer 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
129 CAMPBELL Colin B. 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
130 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
131 OLMSTEAD Aaron R. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
132 PAN Jerry 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
133 EMIR PUTRA Syed Adam 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
134 REN Junming - 4% 17% 36% 34% 10%
135 CHEN Alan 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
136 D'ORAZIO Joseph 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
137 LIMB Matthew G. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% -
138 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
139 MISOGAS Matthew B. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
140 MERCHANT Marcel J. - < 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
141 DEMAREST Iain 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
142 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
143 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
143 DHINGRA Gian K. 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
145 NOBLE Daniel 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
146 LIANG Connor 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
146 HARRIS Alex K. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
148 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
149 CHAN Matthew 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
150 COTTER Liam 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
150 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
152 PEDERSEN Leif 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
152 DODRILL Grant 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
152 PAN Andrew W. 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% - -
155 FEENEY Sean 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
155 ZHOU Justin 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
157 LIU kelly 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
158 MAHONEY Colin M. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
159 MEHTA Sachin N. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
160 CHEN Brian 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
161 BARBER William S. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
162 YANG Ziyi 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
163 PORTMANN Stein J. 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
164 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
165 GAFFNEY John M. 69% 27% 4% - - - -
166 NG Jonathan H. 7% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
167 DILLREE Spencer S. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
168 BOLTON Braydon A. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
169 WU Nicholas R. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
170 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
170 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
172 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
173 BURR Tanner B. 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.