October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, October 18, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELSISSY Ziad A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
6 METRYKA Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
8 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
9 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
11 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
12 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
13 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
14 BAK Daniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
15 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
16 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
17 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
18 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
19 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
20 KWONG Samuel J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
20 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
22 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
23 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 9%
24 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 4%
25 YEN Darren 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
26 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
27 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
28 MCFADDEN Shae Q. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
29 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% -
30 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
31 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
32 HU William 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 5% -
33 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
34 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
35 CAI Erwin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
36 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
37 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
38 SMITH David C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
39 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
40 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
41 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
42 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
43 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
44 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
45 YANG Kevin S. 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
46 KIM Minwook 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
47 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
48 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 5%
49 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
50 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
51 QIU Le 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
52 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
53 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
54 STONE Ben 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
55 ATTIG Will T. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
55 LEE Kyle 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
57 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 2%
58 MATRICCIANI NOAH 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
59 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
60 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 12%
61 KIM Sean G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
62 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 26% 2%
63 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
64 BARNETT Adam 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
65 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
66 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
67 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
68 CONTRERAS Alessandro 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
69 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
70 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
71 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
72 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
73 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
74 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
75 KIM Avery J. 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
76 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
77 SINGER Carson 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
78 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
79 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
80 JULIEN William A 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
81 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
81 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
83 GUY Philippe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
84 BRADFORD Blake 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
85 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
86 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
87 MARSEE James 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
88 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
89 FLORES Gerardo (Gerardito) D. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 4%
90 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
91 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
92 TONG Qilin 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
93 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
94 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
94 WUN William 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
94 ZHOU Kevin 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
97 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
98 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
99 GANTA Vijay 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
100 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
100 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 83% 42% 11% 2% - -
102 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 2%
103 PITURA Philip 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
104 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
105 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
106 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
107 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
108 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
109 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
110 LAI Adam J. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
111 YOUNG Nash 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
112 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
113 FLORES Peter D. 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
114 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
115 WESLER Logan A. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
116 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
117 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
118 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
119 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
120 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
121 WIND Nicky E. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
122 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
122 WOOD Elden S. 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
124 YAN Jack P. 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% - -
125 LASORSA Matthew 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
126 LILOV Neil 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
127 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
128 RAMAN Easwer 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
129 CAMPBELL Colin B. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10% 1%
130 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
131 OLMSTEAD Aaron R. 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
132 PAN Jerry 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
133 EMIR PUTRA Syed Adam 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
134 REN Junming 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
135 CHEN Alan 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
136 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
137 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5% -
138 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
139 MISOGAS Matthew B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
140 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
141 DEMAREST Iain 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
142 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
143 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
143 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
145 NOBLE Daniel 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
146 LIANG Connor 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
146 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
148 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 98% 83% 53% 20% 4% -
149 CHAN Matthew 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
150 COTTER Liam 100% 89% 54% 20% 4% - -
150 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
152 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
152 DODRILL Grant 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
152 PAN Andrew W. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
155 FEENEY Sean 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
155 ZHOU Justin 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
157 LIU kelly 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
158 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
159 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9% 1%
160 CHEN Brian 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
161 BARBER William S. 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
162 YANG Ziyi 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
163 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
164 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
165 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 31% 4% - - - -
166 NG Jonathan H. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
167 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
168 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
169 WU Nicholas R. 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
170 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
170 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
172 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
173 BURR Tanner B. 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.