Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
2 HEILMANN Caleb - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
3 HEILMANN Christian - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
3 LEE Shane Gunn - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
5 FAZELINIA Erfaan - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
6 TO Aiden - 4% 22% 46% 27%
7 TERENTIEV Michael - - 2% 16% 42% 39%
8 PACIUS Hunter 31% 45% 21% 3% -
9 LI Jayden 5% 27% 40% 22% 5% < 1%
10 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
11 TERNG Peter 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1%
12 HAMM Bennett - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
13 YU Dylan - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
14 ROSENBLATT Ezra 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
15 ZHANG Leon - 4% 23% 46% 27%
16 LI Felix 29% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
17 HUANG KIMBALL 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
18 DIORIO James 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
19 PALERMO Evan 10% 35% 39% 14% 2%
20 WONG Jacob 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
21 FERNAINE Thomas 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
22 XU Jayden 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
23 PAN William 42% 42% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.