October NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Saturday, October 19, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
2 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
3 OH Erin H. 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
5 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
6 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
7 CHEN Cynthia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
8 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
9 MASUI Konami W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
10 DUAN Konnie 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
11 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
12 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
13 RENTON Samantha 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
14 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
15 JEWETT Jamie 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
16 WU Kyra 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
17 LUO ZIWEN 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
18 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
19 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
20 WEBB Ella 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
21 TONG Ophelia 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
22 ZHANG Sylvia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
23 LAU Chloe M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
24 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
25 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
26 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
27 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
28 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
29 HEISER Anna M. 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
30 XUE Alanna 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
31 PARKER Emilie Rose (Rosie) 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
32 YU Jaime L. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 8% 1%
33 SHI Haoqing 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
34 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
35 HUANG NATALIE 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
36 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
37 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
38 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
39 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
40 PARK Jaimie Lina 100% 93% 69% 34% 11% 2% -
41 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
42 VONA Elena M. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
43 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
44 KANG Jiyoon 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
45 ATLURI Srija 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
46 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
47 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
48 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
49 WONG Allison M. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
50 LEE Ariana 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
51 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
52 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
53 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
54 YEH Marissa E. 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
55 VOHRA Anusha 100% 100% 90% 57% 18% 2%
56 FERNANDES Thea 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
57 TRAN Ava D. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
58 WANG ROBIN 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
59 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 99% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
60 LI Meilin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
61 XU Madison 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
62 YE Eileen 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
63 HU Victoria 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
64 LEE Jessica Doyun 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
65 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
66 TAN Clarisse 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
67 KOROL Dana 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
68 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
69 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
70 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
71 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
72 SHIH Diane 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
73 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 97% 64% 22% 3% -
74 WANG Catherine K. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
75 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
76 GU Yu Jia 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
77 HOBSON Leena 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
77 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
79 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
80 MING YUE 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
81 RASO Olivia 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
82 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
83 BOLES Sophia 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
84 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
85 LI Shuang 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
86 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
87 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
88 YOUNG Audrey S. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
89 YANG Alice 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
90 CHEN yichun 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
91 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 95% 50% 13% 2% - -
92 HICKS Bronwen 100% 33% 5% - - - -
93 MADDOX Lacey E. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
94 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
95 WILEY Erica 100% 19% 1% - - - -
96 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
97 YANIV Liya 100% 21% 2% - - -
98 PAGES Melanie 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.