Midwest ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Canlan Sports Lake Barrington - Barrington, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHEVCHENKO Kostiantyn - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
2 TOEWS Jackson 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 2%
3 KIM Brian - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
3 FRASER Rhys 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
5 BAILEY William F. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
6 ASHIDA Tomoaki - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
7 ZHENG Marcus - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
8 SINHA Verdhaan - - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
9 RAJ Jay - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
10 LU Jingyi - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
11 ZHONG Maxwell - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
12 YAP Nathan - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
13 LIM Charles - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
14 MORA Johan - - 3% 18% 38% 33% 8%
15 CAO Leon M. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
16 CHO Xzander 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
17 RUBY Asher - 9% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
18 CLARK Benjamin - 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
19 DORE Davis - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
20 SHI Boris 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
21 JU Alexander (Alex) Y. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
22 CHAN Tyler - - - 1% 7% 33% 60%
23 SMITH Erick 1% 8% 33% 38% 18% 3% -
24 ZINSER James 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
25 BOYKO Miles - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 6%
26 TAN Xinlai - 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
27 MCKEE Calvin 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
28 YU Leo 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
29 HONG Derek 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
30 LINEBERRY CADEN 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
31 KAGAN Noah 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
32 RONE Tosan 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
33 CHEZ Nolan 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
34 KUE Temujin - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15% 2%
35 EDWARDS Connor 1% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
36 HEYBOER Jason - 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
37 GNEUHS Sam 2% 14% 33% 33% 16% 3%
38 TAGORE Reyansh 22% 47% 25% 5% - - -
39 WILEY Conor 23% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
40 TEH Tang-Ngu - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
41 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
42 ZHANG Hanson 41% 44% 13% 2% - - -
43 FERGUSON Levi 34% 48% 16% 2% - - -
44 MISIOURA Mark 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
45 FEEHAN Conor 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
46 WHEELOCK Bryan M. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
47 WENGER Liam 36% 48% 14% 2% - - -
48 BELL Alexander 89% 10% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.