Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 30%
2 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
3 XIAO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 23%
3 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
5 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
6 COONEY Kyla 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
7 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
8 MORTON Penelope 100% 66% 22% 3% - -
9 WAGENAAR Ava 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% < 1%
10 LAU Carys Bella 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
11 DAI Amy 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
12 XIANG Kellina 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
13 YU Catherine 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
14 LATAWA Navya 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
15 ZANGIROLAMI FERRER Isabella 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
16 YUE Elizabeth 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
17 HO Mirabel 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1%
18 MAKATOVA Aisha 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
19 BELL Paisley 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
19 STEPHANIAN Annabel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
21 MAKATOVA Ulpan 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
22 HARRISON Haylee 100% 30% 4% - - -
23 CHOI Reina 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
23 BEHZADI Zara 100% 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.