October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, October 20, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Kansas City, MO - Kansas City, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
2 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
5 BLOW Iman (Mani) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
6 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
8 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
9 ROSS Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
10 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
11 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
12 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
13 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
14 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
15 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
16 MARINELLI Ever 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
17 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
18 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
19 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
20 LIAO Madeline M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 1%
21 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
22 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
22 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
24 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
25 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
26 ZEISS Madison E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
27 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
28 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
29 TANG Louise 100% 98% 79% 40% 9% 1%
30 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
31 LAMPSON-STIXRUD Dolly C. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
32 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20% 1%
33 ELIZONDO Isabelle M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
34 AHN Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
35 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
36 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 16%
37 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
38 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
39 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
40 AHN Isabella 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
41 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 1%
42 ZHENG Ivy 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
43 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
44 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
45 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 1%
46 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
47 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 1%
48 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
49 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 9%
50 CHON Samantha 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6% -
50 LI Phoebe J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
52 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
53 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
54 CHEN Alyssa J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
55 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1%
56 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
57 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
58 APELIAN Katherine 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
59 BOLDOR Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
60 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
61 KIM Rachael 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
61 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
63 PARK Rowan M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
64 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
65 TSAI Xiao-Qing E. 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 14% 1%
66 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 18% 1%
67 LAFFEY Jessie S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
68 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
69 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17% 1%
70 FILBY Sarah M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
71 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
72 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
73 JING Alexandra 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
74 MOLHO Sofia 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
75 LEE Alina 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4% -
75 TALAVERA Daena 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
77 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
78 LEE Paulina 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
79 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
80 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
81 TAN Elisha 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
82 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
83 LOCKE Savannah 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
84 CHEN Kelly 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
85 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
86 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
87 HO Brianna W. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
88 HERNANDEZ Susanne 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
89 HE Fenghuan 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 9% 1%
90 LIN Annie X. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
91 LUKINS Tianji 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
92 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
93 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
94 REN Olivia Y. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
95 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
96 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
97 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
98 KONG Olivia 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
99 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
100 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
101 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
102 YU Seneca 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
103 CHO Cameron S. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
104 REDDY Dhruthi S. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
105 SEAL Julie T. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
105 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
107 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
108 HE Xiangxin 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
109 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
110 BANBURY Justine 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 3%
111 VONA Elena M. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
112 BANIN Alexandra G. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
112 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
114 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
115 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 17% 2%
116 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
117 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
118 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
119 LAU Sydnee M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7%
120 QIAN Crystal 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
121 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
122 JO Mia C. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
123 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
124 MAK Tinney 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
125 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
126 RASO Sofia G. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
127 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
128 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
129 LEE Brianna J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
130 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
131 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
132 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
132 MING YUE 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
134 WU Catherine 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
135 CHO Gracie L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
136 CHEN Cynthia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
137 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
138 GUO Kaitlyn S. 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
139 MOON Elina C. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
139 CHEN Jia P. 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
141 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
142 LUO ZIWEN 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
143 KOROL Dana 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
144 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
145 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
146 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
147 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% -
148 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
149 LEVI Lea 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
150 BHANOT Gayatri 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
151 BANIN Isabelle J. 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
152 RENTON Samantha 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
153 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
154 JEWETT Jamie 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
155 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
156 ATLURI Srija 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
157 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
158 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
159 MASUI Konami W. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
160 LEE Ariana 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
161 WONG Allison M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
162 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
163 LIN Ashley 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
164 XU Christine 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
165 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
165 TURNER Stephanie E. 100% 19% 1% - - - -
165 BATRA Chaahat 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
168 YE Eileen 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
169 KOROL Neta 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
170 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
171 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
172 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
173 LEE Jessica Doyun 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
174 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
175 SHIH Diane 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
176 LOW Sharon J. 100% 95% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
177 SIMONTOV Sofia M. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
177 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
179 FANG Serena 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
179 SHI Haoqing 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
181 CHON Sydney 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
182 KIM Lauren 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
182 LUU Shanon K. 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
184 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
185 CHO Taylor S. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.