Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
3 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 DONG Katelyn 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
5 HOLLIS Priscillia 100% 99% 79% 37% 6%
6 ZHANG Caroline 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
7 PHAN Logan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
8 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
9 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
10 LU Sophia 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% 1%
11 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
12 LEO Jenna 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
13 LIAW Audrey 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% -
14 DZIWULSKI Elisabeth Claire 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% -
16 BALMER Zoe 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
17 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
18 REILLY Carys 100% 97% 69% 25% 3%
19 HUDSON Sophie 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
20 HOU Xu 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
21 SHANG Arianna 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
22 XU Charlene 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
23 JIN Emily 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
24 FAN Melody 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
25 CLOUD Chrystie 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
26 AKSAKAL Ela 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
27 BROWN Katelyn 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
27 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
29 GONG Maggie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
30 PIERSIG Eleanor 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
31 CARMEN Charlotte 100% 22% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.