Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 SU Caleb - - - - 3% 24% 73%
3 SVERDLOV Seth - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 MA YIXING (Tiger) - 3% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
5 SINGLETON Aman - - 3% 18% 42% 37%
6 ZHU Yiming 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
7 HU Robert J. - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
8 CHEN Isaac Zhi 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
9 ZHAI Junqi - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
10 LI Ray - 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
11 BRADSHAW Carter - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
12 MILINKOVIC Maksim - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
13 ZHOU Zhi Matthew 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
14 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 2% 14% 35% 36% 12%
15 THOMAS Andrew 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
16 CHAU Collin 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
17 LI Morgan - - 4% 19% 38% 33% 6%
18 LYCHKO Maksym - - 5% 21% 40% 29% 4%
19 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
20 ANAFI Ari - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
21 PENG Ethan 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
22 KUSACTAY Eric 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
23 HUANG Max 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
24 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
25 ALEXANDER Christopher 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
26 ZHENG Jason 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
27 GLUSHKOV David 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
28 HENNESSY Levon 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
29 CUELLAR Markus 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
30 DATSON David 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
31 LEE Henry 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
32 STEVENS Owen 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
33 LAU LUCAS 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
34 HOOD Emery 1% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
35 KAPLAN Maddox 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
36 GOVOROV Alexander 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
37 MANTINAOS Constantinos 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
38 KHAW-BRIOT Julien 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
39 KIM Zac 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 3% -
40 MELUCCI Jonathan 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
41 TSIEN Richard 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
42 ZHU Brady 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
43 SALZBERG Austin 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
44 LIU-XUE Shuliang 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
44 WAGNER Bennett 78% 20% 2% - - - -
46 FRIEDMAN Andres < 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
47 HIGGINS Viktor 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.