Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YARBILOVA Aya - - - 4% 33% 63%
2 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 7% 30% 41% 20% 2%
3 ZHANG Ashley - - - 1% 9% 40% 50%
3 SIU Mila - - 1% 6% 30% 47% 16%
5 SUN Alisha - 1% 5% 24% 44% 23% 3%
6 YIN Elaine - - 3% 22% 56% 18%
7 CHEN Laila - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
8 CHEN Reina - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
9 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
10 LIU Brinley - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
11 LIANG Kristy 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
12 WANG Katherine 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
13 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
14 ECCLESTONE Tara 3% 22% 43% 27% 4% -
15 ZHU YUNXI - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 AN Julie - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
17 YINGLING Dinah - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
18 CHOI Serine 14% 42% 34% 10% 1% -
19 LOUGH Abbie 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
20 YULTCHIEVA Julia 24% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
21 ALVAREZ Megan 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% - -
22 WANG Emily 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
23 LAVIN Maxine 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
24 GRECO Athena 24% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
25 DONE Kennedy 2% 18% 41% 33% 6% -
26 LAMOREAUX Calyse 46% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.