Nittany Lion Cup RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Nittany Valley Sports Centre - State College, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YARBILOVA Aya 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
2 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 92% 63% 22% 2%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
3 SIU Mila 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 16%
5 SUN Alisha 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26% 3%
6 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 18%
7 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
8 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
9 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
10 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
11 LIANG Kristy 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
12 WANG Katherine 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1%
13 BONTHAPALLY Maitreyee S. 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% 1% -
14 ECCLESTONE Tara 100% 97% 74% 32% 5% -
15 ZHU YUNXI 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
16 AN Julie 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
17 YINGLING Dinah 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
18 CHOI Serine 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% -
19 LOUGH Abbie 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
20 YULTCHIEVA Julia 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
21 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% - -
22 WANG Emily 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
23 LAVIN Maxine 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% - -
24 GRECO Athena 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
25 DONE Kennedy 100% 98% 80% 39% 6% -
26 LAMOREAUX Calyse 100% 54% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.