Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIYA BIAYA K. - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 TANG Alexander L. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 TIKHAEV Alexander - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
3 ZHENG Marcus - - 3% 19% 45% 32%
5 HUANG Eythan - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
6 LIU Aaron 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
7 GE Felix Fei - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
8 GORDON William L. 1% 9% 33% 41% 17%
9 WEI Winston - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
10 ZHAO Ryan - 4% 20% 42% 28% 5% -
11 TAY Daniel Yee Jye - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
13 TANG August L. - - 1% 8% 34% 49% 8%
14 FANG Haoyu - 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
15 ZHANG Jacob - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
16 RAJ Jay - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
17 LU Nathan - - 5% 26% 46% 23%
18 ZHAN Kevin 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
19 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
20 YUE Jackson - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
21 SHIN Noah - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
22 LEE Charles T 1% 8% 29% 41% 19% 3%
23 ABRAMKIN Tim - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
24 METZ Mason - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11% -
25 XU Nathan 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
26 YU William - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
27 ULYSSE Jacob 27% 46% 22% 4% -
28 YANG David H. 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
29 ORLOV Dmitriy 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
30 SONG HAN GYEOL 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
31 ZHENG Austin 7% 29% 38% 20% 5% - -
32 LEONG Samuel 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
33 LEE Thomas 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
34 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 29% 46% 21% 4% -
35 SINGH Meet 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
36 HARWOOD Gray 13% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
37 LEE Noah 23% 45% 25% 5% - -
38 AGARWAL Savya 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
39 KUBBA Krish 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
40 CHANG Xavier 8% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
41 SHAW Spencer 11% 39% 35% 13% 2% - -
42 WANG Freyr 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
43 YUN Max 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
44 XU Dinghui Ryan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
45 CHANG Zane 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
46 TIAN Dylan 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.