Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Foil

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 32%
5 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
6 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
7 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
8 GORDON William L. 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
9 WEI Winston 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
10 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6% -
11 TAY Daniel Yee Jye 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
13 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 8%
14 FANG Haoyu 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
15 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
16 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
17 LU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 23%
18 ZHAN Kevin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
19 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
20 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 2%
21 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
22 LEE Charles T 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3%
23 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
24 METZ Mason 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11% -
25 XU Nathan 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
26 YU William 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
27 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 73% 27% 4% -
28 YANG David H. 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
29 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
30 SONG HAN GYEOL 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
31 ZHENG Austin 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
32 LEONG Samuel 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
33 LEE Thomas 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
34 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 71% 25% 4% -
35 SINGH Meet 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
36 HARWOOD Gray 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% - -
37 LEE Noah 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
38 AGARWAL Savya 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
39 KUBBA Krish 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
40 CHANG Xavier 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% - -
41 SHAW Spencer 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
42 WANG Freyr 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
43 YUN Max 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
44 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
45 CHANG Zane 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
46 TIAN Dylan 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.