Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HONG Catherine - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
2 CHANEY Evelyn 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
3 AINSWORTH Esme 1% 12% 36% 39% 12%
3 FAYEZ Malika - 3% 18% 44% 35%
5 VILLER Gabriella 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% < 1%
6 ERATA Selena 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
7 ZHAO Rachel 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
8 HARSAR Cleo 2% 13% 33% 35% 16% 2%
9 ABDELKAREM Maya 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
10 JUBILEE Beata - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
11 CHOI Noah 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
12 LIU Brinley - 2% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 ABDALLAH Lily 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
14 LEE Gloria 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
15 KIM Eila 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
16 LEE Zerah 38% 42% 17% 3% -
17 MAO Faith 8% 37% 38% 15% 2%
18 CHUNG Yenna 4% 24% 40% 26% 6%
19 ZHAO Crystal 3% 21% 42% 28% 6%
20 BELL Paisley 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
21 GALIOTE Nora 50% 38% 10% 1% -
22 SAAD Emmalyn 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.