Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
2 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
3 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
3 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
5 VILLER Gabriella 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% < 1%
6 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
7 ZHAO Rachel 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
8 HARSAR Cleo 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
9 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
10 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
11 CHOI Noah 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
12 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
13 ABDALLAH Lily 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
14 LEE Gloria 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
15 KIM Eila 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
16 LEE Zerah 100% 62% 20% 3% -
17 MAO Faith 100% 92% 55% 17% 2%
18 CHUNG Yenna 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
19 ZHAO Crystal 100% 97% 76% 34% 6%
20 BELL Paisley 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
21 GALIOTE Nora 100% 50% 11% 1% -
22 SAAD Emmalyn 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.