Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Sophie - - - 2% 11% 37% 49%
2 HAFEZ Sahar - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
3 ZHENG Annalyn - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
3 ZHANG Hannah - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
5 XING Melly - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
6 SHEN Gloria - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
7 CHAN Jolene - - 2% 13% 41% 43%
8 ELLISON Ingrid - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
10 WANG Joann - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
11 KHETPAL Aalia - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
12 GENG Emma - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
13 LI Doreen 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
14 KIM Yuna - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
15 LUO lucy - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
16 ZHANG Priscilla - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
17 ZHU Audrey - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
18 JU Victoria 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 4%
19 FU Joy 7% 29% 39% 21% 5% < 1%
20 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
21 MA Sophia - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
22 FAROOQI Eliora 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
23 HUANG Emma - 1% 9% 33% 43% 14%
24 HUANG Gabrielle - 5% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
25 KIM Ines - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
26 PARK Hannah - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
27 ZHANG Selina - 2% 12% 34% 39% 12%
28 QIAO Lori-Ann 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
29 LI Annabelle - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
30 REILLY Carys - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
31 WEN Lillian 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
32 TANG Clementine 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
33 DONG Audrey - 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
34 LU Sophia 3% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
35 KIM Rylie 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
36 PAK Rosa 1% 8% 30% 40% 19% 2%
37 FENG Claire - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
38 JAZWINSKI Ivy 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
39 FERRON Sofia - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
40 YAO Emma 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
41 MORONES Alieza 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
42 CHAN Chloe 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
43 LIU Bella 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
44 MCCLAIN Madison 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4%
45 WANG Allyson 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
46 MILLER Anna - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
47 DONG Nancy 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
48 FANG Savannah 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
49 HOLSTAD Anneliese 3% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
50 CHAN Jaclyn 3% 22% 42% 27% 6% -
51 WANG Michelle 14% 42% 32% 10% 2% - -
52 XU Charlene 2% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
53 WU Karina 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
54 MCCLAIN Grayce 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
55 FU Angela 10% 35% 35% 16% 4% - -
56 CHEN Arianna 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
57 HUANG Jiayu 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
58 DONG Ena 59% 34% 6% - - -
59 MA Annabella 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
60 CHEN Chloe 36% 42% 18% 3% - -
60 LEE Soli 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
62 LEE Annabel 7% 35% 40% 16% 2% -
63 PAN Nina 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
64 DAI Claire 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
65 JIN Kerina 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
66 BREWER Gracie 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
67 LIU Doris 39% 43% 15% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.