Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
3 ZHANG Hannah 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
5 XING Melly 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 SHEN Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
8 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
10 WANG Joann 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
11 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
12 GENG Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
13 LI Doreen 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
14 KIM Yuna 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
15 LUO lucy 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
16 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
17 ZHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
18 JU Victoria 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
19 FU Joy 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% < 1%
20 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 4%
21 MA Sophia 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 FAROOQI Eliora 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
23 HUANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
24 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
25 KIM Ines 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
26 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
27 ZHANG Selina 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
28 QIAO Lori-Ann 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 13% 2%
29 LI Annabelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
30 REILLY Carys 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
31 WEN Lillian 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
32 TANG Clementine 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
33 DONG Audrey 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
34 LU Sophia 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
35 KIM Rylie 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
36 PAK Rosa 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 2%
37 FENG Claire 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
38 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
39 FERRON Sofia 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
40 YAO Emma 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
41 MORONES Alieza 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
42 CHAN Chloe 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
43 LIU Bella 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
44 MCCLAIN Madison 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
45 WANG Allyson 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
46 MILLER Anna 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
47 DONG Nancy 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
48 FANG Savannah 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
49 HOLSTAD Anneliese 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
50 CHAN Jaclyn 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% -
51 WANG Michelle 100% 86% 44% 12% 2% - -
52 XU Charlene 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
53 WU Karina 100% 86% 47% 15% 2% - -
54 MCCLAIN Grayce 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
55 FU Angela 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% - -
56 CHEN Arianna 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
57 HUANG Jiayu 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 4% -
58 DONG Ena 100% 41% 7% - - -
59 MA Annabella 100% 55% 13% 2% - - -
60 CHEN Chloe 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
60 LEE Soli 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
62 LEE Annabel 100% 93% 58% 18% 2% -
63 PAN Nina 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
64 DAI Claire 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
65 JIN Kerina 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
66 BREWER Gracie 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
67 LIU Doris 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.