Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Victor - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
2 KARAVAS Nicholas - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 SLAVNOV Anton - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 28%
3 CHANG Ethan - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
5 BUKZIN Alan - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
6 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
7 CHAN Ewan 1% 8% 26% 40% 23% 2%
7 ZHANG Simon 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
9 LEVY Daniel - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
10 WU Vincent - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
11 LIU Jayden - 2% 12% 31% 38% 18%
12 LI Cooper - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
13 SRIVATSAV Anay 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
14 SRIVATSAV Ishaan - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
15 LU Simon 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
16 TASIKAS Peter - 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 7%
17 LI Lucas 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
18 ZHANG Joseph - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
19 ZHANG Caleb 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
20 VISH Manyu 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
21 LIAO Sirui - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
22 DONNELL Cillian 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
23 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
24 SUN Leonard - 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
25 CHEN Ryan 2% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
26 YAO John 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
27 CHANDRA Ayan 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
28 RAMONDINI Levi - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
29 WANG Ziyao 1% 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
30 STOLCKE Julian - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 4%
31 SONG Ryan 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
32 BERTIN Kiran 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
34 CHANG Timothy - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 3%
35 FAUSTO Aidan 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
36 SALMAN Ibrahim 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
37 KIM Junseong - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
38 ZHANG Eric 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
39 CHEN Luca 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% -
40 URQUILLA Devin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
41 WANG Mason 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
42 MAUREL Louis 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
43 UCHIYAMA Lucas 49% 43% 7% - - - -
44 YU Ronen 20% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
45 CHOU Franklin 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
46 PERKINS, JR LeVar 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
47 ATA Kevin 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
48 TUMBAPURA Arjun 9% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
49 KNOBEL Benjamin 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
50 PETROSYAN Aleksander 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
51 LI Derek 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
52 PIPKE Garrett 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
53 MOORE Blaise 11% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
54 OH Caleb 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
55 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
56 LIUZHANG Ben 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
56 TILAKARATNE Avin 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
58 HUANG Lucas 25% 50% 21% 4% - - -
59 GU Viljo Weihan 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
60 BROWN Nash 2% 21% 47% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.