Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, December 26, 2025 at 3:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 28%
3 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
5 BUKZIN Alan 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
6 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 2%
7 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
9 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
10 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
11 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
12 LI Cooper 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
13 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
14 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
15 LU Simon 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
16 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
17 LI Lucas 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
18 ZHANG Joseph 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
19 ZHANG Caleb 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
20 VISH Manyu 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
21 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 22% 3%
22 DONNELL Cillian 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
23 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
24 SUN Leonard 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
25 CHEN Ryan 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
26 YAO John 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
27 CHANDRA Ayan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
28 RAMONDINI Levi 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
29 WANG Ziyao 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
30 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
31 SONG Ryan 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
32 BERTIN Kiran 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
34 CHANG Timothy 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 3%
35 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
36 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
37 KIM Junseong 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
38 ZHANG Eric 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
39 CHEN Luca 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% -
40 URQUILLA Devin 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
41 WANG Mason 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
42 MAUREL Louis 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
43 UCHIYAMA Lucas 100% 51% 8% - - - -
44 YU Ronen 100% 80% 41% 12% 1% -
45 CHOU Franklin 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
46 PERKINS, JR LeVar 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
47 ATA Kevin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
48 TUMBAPURA Arjun 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
49 KNOBEL Benjamin 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
50 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
51 LI Derek 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
52 PIPKE Garrett 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
53 MOORE Blaise 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
54 OH Caleb 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
55 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
56 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
56 TILAKARATNE Avin 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
58 HUANG Lucas 100% 75% 25% 4% - - -
59 GU Viljo Weihan 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
60 BROWN Nash 100% 98% 77% 31% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.