Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
2 SHIN Noah - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
3 YU William - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
3 ZHENG Marcus - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
5 ABRAMKIN Tim - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
6 GE Felix Fei - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
7 XU Nathan - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7%
8 LEE Charles T - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
9 RAJ Jay - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
10 ZHANG Jacob - - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
11 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
12 AGARWAL Savya - 1% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
13 YANG David H. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 3%
14 FAN Ze Lin - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
15 ZHAO Ryan 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 ROBERTSON Liam 9% 35% 38% 16% 3% - -
17 LIU Alex - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
18 WANG Mendy - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
19 LIU Aaron - - - 5% 24% 48% 23%
20 METZ Mason - - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11%
21 SONG HAN GYEOL - 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
22 YUE Jackson - - 5% 23% 44% 28%
24 WEI Winston - - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
25 CHANG Parker - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
26 ZHAN Kevin - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
27 LEONG Samuel 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
28 LIM EUNSEONG - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
29 LEE Thomas 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
30 SHAW Spencer - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7% 1%
31 WANG Freyr 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
32 KIM Aiden - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
33 ZHENG Austin 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 2%
34 LEE Noah 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
35 CHANG Xavier 1% 18% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
36 DI TELLA Ulises 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
37 KUBBA Krish 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% -
38 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau - 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% -
39 GELLAD Luke 1% 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
39 SONG Enoch 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
41 XU Ryan 2% 22% 40% 27% 7% 1%
42 CHOI Hunter 2% 18% 39% 31% 10% 1%
42 CHANG Zane 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
44 TIAN Dylan 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
45 CHEN Ethan 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
46 HARWOOD Gray 1% 25% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
47 XIE Jayden 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
48 PAN Gary 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
49 WEBER Andrew 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
50 YUN Max 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
51 GORDON William L. - < 1% 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
52 WEI JR Shan - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
53 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
54 TSENG Lucas 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% - -
55 SUN Andrew 64% 30% 5% - - - -
56 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
57 LEE Kyle 18% 39% 31% 10% 2% - -
58 ULYSSE Jacob 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
59 XU Rambert 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
60 LIN Oliver 72% 25% 3% - - -
61 YANG George 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.