Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 SHIN Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 YU William 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
3 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
6 GE Felix Fei 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 XU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
8 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
9 RAJ Jay 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 ZHANG Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 43%
11 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
12 AGARWAL Savya 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
13 YANG David H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
14 FAN Ze Lin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
15 ZHAO Ryan 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
16 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 91% 57% 18% 3% - -
17 LIU Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
18 WANG Mendy 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
19 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
20 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
21 SONG HAN GYEOL 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
22 YUE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
24 WEI Winston 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
25 CHANG Parker 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
26 ZHAN Kevin 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
27 LEONG Samuel 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
28 LIM EUNSEONG 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 45% 12%
29 LEE Thomas 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
30 SHAW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
31 WANG Freyr 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
32 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
33 ZHENG Austin 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
34 LEE Noah 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
35 CHANG Xavier 100% 99% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
36 DI TELLA Ulises 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
37 KUBBA Krish 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
38 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
39 GELLAD Luke 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3% -
39 SONG Enoch 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
41 XU Ryan 100% 98% 76% 36% 8% 1%
42 CHOI Hunter 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
42 CHANG Zane 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
44 TIAN Dylan 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
45 CHEN Ethan 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
46 HARWOOD Gray 100% 99% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
47 XIE Jayden 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
48 PAN Gary 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
49 WEBER Andrew 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
50 YUN Max 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
51 GORDON William L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
52 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
53 SIMANDJUNTAK Joshua 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
54 TSENG Lucas 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% - -
55 SUN Andrew 100% 36% 6% - - - -
56 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
57 LEE Kyle 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
58 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
59 XU Rambert 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
60 LIN Oliver 100% 28% 3% - - -
61 YANG George 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.