Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Alyssa - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
2 MENON Maya - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
3 CHANG Eleanor 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
3 HOWELL Vivienne - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
5 ZHANG Annalyn 1% 10% 32% 39% 18% 1%
6 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
7 TANG Julia 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
8 RADELL Zoe 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
9 LAM Hilda 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
10 SHAIKH Sarah 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
11 PARK Joanne - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
12 LIN Martina 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
13 CHEUNG Clara 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
14 VENZKE Natasha 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
15 GARCIA Madelin 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
16 ENRIQUEZ Ava 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
17 VALENCIA Maria 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
18 PILGAOKAR Mahira 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
19 PILGAOKAR Amyra 41% 41% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.