Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
2 MENON Maya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 CHANG Eleanor 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
3 HOWELL Vivienne 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
5 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
6 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
7 TANG Julia 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
8 RADELL Zoe 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
9 LAM Hilda 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
10 SHAIKH Sarah 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
11 PARK Joanne 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 LIN Martina 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
13 CHEUNG Clara 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
14 VENZKE Natasha 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
15 GARCIA Madelin 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
16 ENRIQUEZ Ava 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
17 VALENCIA Maria 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
18 PILGAOKAR Mahira 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
19 PILGAOKAR Amyra 100% 59% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.