Event Results

Y-10 Women's Foil

Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCCSurprise Map

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Convention Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

32 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	WANG Joann	V V V V V V	V V V V V	5.6	6	+0.4
2	KIM Rylie	D V V V V	V V V V D	3.1	4	+0.9
3	JU Victoria	V V D V V	V V V D	3.8	4	+0.2
3	HOLSTAD Anneliese	V D V D V	V V V D	3.0	3	-
5	HUANG Emma	V V V V V	V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
6	WANG Manny	V V V V V V	V V D	4.8	6	+1.2
7	DONG Audrey	V V V V D V	V V D	4.8	5	+0.2
8	WEN Lillian	V V D V D V	V V D	4.2	4	-0.2
9	MILLER Anna	V V V V V	V D	3.8	5	+1.2
10	MCCLAIN Grayce	V V V D V	V D	2.9	4	+1.1
11	MORONES Alieza	V V D V V D	V D	2.7	4	+1.3
12	CHEN Chloe	V D D V V V	V D	2.6	4	+1.4
13	ZHENG Rachel	V V V D D V	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
14	LI Beatrice	D V V V D	V D	3.2	3	-0.2
15	FANG Savannah	D V V D V	V D	2.1	3	+0.9
16	FU Angela	D D V D V V	V D	3.5	3	-0.5
17	CHAN Jaclyn	V V V D D	D	2.3	3	+0.7
18	HUANG Jiayu	D D D V V	D	3.2	2	-1.2
19	CHEN Arianna	V D D V D	D	3.0	2	-1.0
20	LIM EDELINE	D D D V V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
21	DAI Claire	D D V V D	D	2.8	2	-0.8
22	MA Annabella	V V D D D	D	1.0	2	+1.0
23	YU Thea	D D V V D D	D	2.7	2	-0.7
24	MAYES-POURNARAS Zara	D D V D V D	D	0.6	2	+1.4
25	DONG Ena	V D D D D	D	0.7	1	+0.3
26	PAN Nina	D V D D D D	D	2.0	1	-1.0
27	LEE Alethea	D D D D V D	D	2.2	1	-1.2
28	ZHU Leona	D D D D D	D	1.4	0	-1.4
29	KIM Taerin	D D D D D	D	1.7	0	-1.7
30	HAN Charlotte	D D D D D	D	1.0	0	-1.0
31	WANG Amelia	D D D D D D	D	0.8	0	-0.8
32	LI Catherine	D D D D D D	D	2.6	0	-2.6

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!