Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Joann - - - - 5% 30% 64%
2 KIM Rylie - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
3 JU Victoria - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
3 HOLSTAD Anneliese 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
5 HUANG Emma - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
6 WANG Manny - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
7 DONG Audrey - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
8 WEN Lillian - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 5%
9 MILLER Anna - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
10 MCCLAIN Grayce - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
11 MORONES Alieza 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
12 CHEN Chloe 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
13 ZHENG Rachel 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
14 LI Beatrice - 3% 19% 39% 31% 8%
15 FANG Savannah 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
16 FU Angela - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
17 CHAN Jaclyn 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
18 HUANG Jiayu - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
19 CHEN Arianna 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
20 LIM EDELINE 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
21 DAI Claire 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
22 MA Annabella 32% 43% 20% 4% - -
23 YU Thea 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
24 MAYES-POURNARAS Zara 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
25 DONG Ena 47% 42% 10% 1% - -
26 PAN Nina 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
27 LEE Alethea 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
28 ZHU Leona 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% -
29 KIM Taerin 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% -
30 HAN Charlotte 24% 52% 21% 3% - -
31 WANG Amelia 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
32 LI Catherine 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.