Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 OH Chloe 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
3 JOSHI Samika 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
5 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
6 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
8 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
9 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
10 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 5%
11 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
12 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
12 HUANG Zoe 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3%
14 TIAN Ariana 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% -
15 LIU Teresa 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
16 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 21%
17 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
18 LIU Alyssa 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
19 WANG Selina 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
20 ONO Lisa 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
21 TOPALOV Julia 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 2%
22 AN Jamie 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
23 SHOWKIER Amal 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
24 SAGER Bianca 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% -
25 LIAO Audrey 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
26 DATLA Aanya 100% 90% 47% 12% 1% -
27 SIROTA Simone 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
28 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 83% 45% 11% 1%
29 HILTON Penelope 100% 40% 6% - - -
30 TILAKARATNE Inuli 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.