Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Fredericksburg Convention Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIM EUNSEONG - - - 2% 19% 46% 32%
2 WANG Mendy - - - - 7% 35% 58%
3 CHANG Parker - - - 4% 27% 62% 7%
3 WU Wallace - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 ZHAI Alex - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
5 FAN Ze Lin - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
7 HUYNH Matthew - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
8 VENAFRO Tristan - 2% 17% 40% 33% 8%
9 LIU Alex - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
10 RAU Shogun - - 5% 22% 43% 31%
11 TAN Charlie - - 4% 19% 44% 34%
12 SHOU Raymond - - 2% 19% 46% 28% 5%
13 HUANG Dalynn - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
14 KIAYIAS Anthony 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
15 CAO Aaron - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
16 ZHENG Lerui - - 2% 12% 37% 40% 9%
17 LIN Lucas - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
18 XIE Jayden - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
19 SONG Enoch - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
20 MCCOOL Henry - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
21 ZHONG Yi - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
22 ZHONG Tian - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 21%
23 LI Andrew - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
24 CHEN Ethan - 3% 16% 37% 34% 9% 1%
25 CHEN Kyler 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% -
26 LI Aaron - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
27 CAO Joshua - 2% 17% 40% 33% 8%
28 PARK Joshua - 14% 36% 34% 14% 2%
29 MORALES Tycho 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
30 TIAN Andy - 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
31 XU Jason 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
32 BRADY David 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
33 ZHANG Eric - 1% 6% 25% 43% 22% 3%
34 NG Chuck 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
35 LU Ethan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
36 FANG Lionel 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
37 AGARWAL Jagrav 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
38 LIU Mason 6% 30% 44% 17% 2% - -
39 YANG Luca 2% 17% 42% 30% 8% 1%
40 HUYNH Kaleb - 6% 23% 38% 27% 6%
41 JIAO Daniel - 10% 31% 37% 19% 3%
42 HUANG Owen 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
43 SINGH Jai Anand 1% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2% -
44 XU Jonathan 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
45 WU Connor 20% 47% 28% 5% - - -
46 GENG Vincent 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
47 YU Oliver 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
48 CHEN Keegan 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
49 SU Sean 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
50 LI Mason 20% 47% 26% 5% - -
51 HAN Jayden 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
52 REN Jonathan 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
53 MOSAMEH Faraj 42% 43% 13% 2% - -
54 ALANAZI Saif - 3% 18% 43% 28% 7% -
55 HYUN Francis 7% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
56 KLINE Benjamin 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
57 JAZWINSKI Archer 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
58 HOLLANDER Max 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
59 NG Harry 49% 38% 11% 1% - -
60 LEONG Michael 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
61 SUN Zedong Eric 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
62 MONTGOMERY Henry 93% 7% - - - -
63 LEE Ryan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
64 SAFAI Bardia 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
65 CREANGA Matthew 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.